Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.471616 0.522299 0.576863 0.640089 0.711481 0.789762 0.882320
2025-06-08 0.386850 0.455663 0.535222 0.634496 0.755730 0.899826 1.085339
2025-06-15 0.343426 0.421281 0.515663 0.639478 0.799057 0.999750 1.274333
2025-06-22 0.305722 0.387158 0.489641 0.629566 0.817944 1.066079 1.423205
2025-06-29 0.277560 0.361111 0.469657 0.623049 0.837543 1.131826 1.574936
2025-07-06 0.247537 0.329302 0.438370 0.596998 0.826027 1.151349 1.660633
2025-07-13 0.233531 0.317569 0.432634 0.604863 0.861665 1.239521 1.855152
2025-07-20 0.221141 0.306801 0.426926 0.611551 0.895201 1.326578 2.056525
2025-07-27 0.210217 0.297088 0.421643 0.617867 0.927941 1.414515 2.268263
2025-08-03 0.199624 0.286948 0.414735 0.620716 0.954877 1.494936 2.475743
2025-08-10 0.190944 0.278945 0.410257 0.626636 0.986703 1.585597 2.710745
2025-08-17 0.178533 0.264395 0.394649 0.613343 0.985270 1.619404 2.846378
2025-08-24 0.172007 0.258687 0.392661 0.622456 1.023129 1.726076 3.133630
2025-08-31 0.162983 0.248476 0.382825 0.617689 1.036461 1.790363 3.347835
2025-09-07 0.156728 0.242246 0.378902 0.622466 1.066792 1.888223 3.641112
2025-09-14 0.148209 0.231791 0.367292 0.612863 1.069830 1.934463 3.832988
2025-09-21 0.140995 0.223056 0.357978 0.606545 1.078242 1.991550 4.055093
2025-09-28 0.130983 0.209092 0.338945 0.581289 1.048374 1.969504 4.098975
2025-10-05 0.127337 0.205703 0.337906 0.588915 1.082831 2.081166 4.461753
2025-10-12 0.123734 0.202170 0.336361 0.595399 1.115447 2.192132 4.838886
2025-10-19 0.120295 0.198720 0.334725 0.601522 1.147736 2.305555 5.238788
2025-10-26 0.116561 0.194540 0.331504 0.604284 1.173201 2.406507 5.622636
2025-11-02 0.113476 0.191346 0.329878 0.610023 1.205358 2.525730 6.072489